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Dec 5, 2023

Russia Risks its A-50 AEW Fleet Flying Near Ukraine Borders Due to Increasing Losses, Western Fighter Threat, and S-400 Weakness

The UK MoD Defence Intelligence reported that Russia's Aerospace Forces (VKS) are increasingly deploying their most advanced Airborne Early Warning (AEW) aircraft, the Beriev A-50U, to identify enemy airborne targets in Ukrainian airspace. The A-50U, with its advanced radar system, can detect and track enemy aircraft from longer distances due to its altitude advantage, aiding the VKS in battle management and providing targeting coordinates for specific missions.

Amid escalating conflict in Ukraine, the A-50U has been crucial in managing VKS fighter aircraft and supporting the targeting of hypersonic missiles. However, the deployment of these advanced aircraft poses a risk, given their limited numbers and the potential difficulty of replacement if lost in action.

The move to deploy these aircraft closer to the front lines signifies ongoing challenges faced by the VKS (Russian Air Force), including substantial losses of aircraft, both confirmed and imputed, due to various reasons like combat, accidents, and extended operations. This has led to a change in tactics, with VKS operating further away from potential threats to minimize losses.

The A-50U's increased deployment aims to support VKS operations by enhancing data-sharing capabilities with the modern S-400 air defense system, aiding in extending the engagement range. This joint system improves target tracking and engagement capabilities but also presents vulnerabilities that the Ukrainians may exploit.

Concerns about the introduction of Western fighter aircraft into the conflict zone have driven Russia's strategic decisions. The potential threat posed by these aircraft has heightened worries about additional losses for the VKS and the increased vulnerability of their S-400 units.

The ongoing conflict has forced Russia to make difficult choices, including the relocation of S-400 units from strategic regions to bolster defenses in the Ukraine theatre. The reduction in S-400 numbers signifies the strain on Russia's crucial defense capabilities due to the ongoing conflict and the need to protect key assets.

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